General
· A slow start to the year has prompted recent news headlines warning of house price falls to come within the UK, and specifically Scottish, property markets.
· Land Registry figures showed that the average property fell in March 2011, by 1.1%, leaving property prices 2.3% lower than a year ago.
· The Registers of Scotland (RoS) Data shows property sales down by 35% in the first quarter of 2011 compared to the last quarter of 2010.
· Last month Scotland has seen a significant pick up in buyer activity, frustrated by the slower than anticipated pick up in seller activity.
· The Bank of England however announced that the number of house purchase approved loans had increased in March, making it the highest number in five months but at the same time new mortgage lending fell to £374m in March down from £950m in February and £1.71 billion in January.
· Should we be surprised? – No!
· The number of cash purchases has been also been rising. Recent reports show that these have been rising sharply since 2005.
· Figures suggest that 40% of property purchases are made in cash, without the need for a mortgage or loan. This has more than doubled since 2005 when cash purchases only made up 15%.
· In certain regions of the UK the percentage of cash buyers is even higher, with south-west of England estimated at 55% and London believed to be as high as 80% of buyers paying in cash.
· This confirms what we at Saint Property are seeing in Scotland. Out of the £45m available to spend by our clients on rural properties, 92% is in cash. In Edinburgh, out of the £12.75m available to spend by our clients, 91% is in cash.
· A large proportion of these cash purchases are being seen at the top end of the property market. We are seeing a surge in demand for Estates, Country Houses and Edinburgh family houses.
· Although there are concerns that these cash buyers will heighten the already developing divide between the top and bottom ends of the property market, this injection of cash must be seen as positive not only for the property market, but also for the wider economy.
· Much of this cash is coming from outwith Scotland. Saint Property have seen increased interest in Scottish property from cash buyers from both the UK and oversees.
Million-Pound Properties
· Sales of properties, with an asking price of £1m or more in the UK, increased at the fastest rate for four years according to recent data released by Lloyds TSB.
· 7,185 of these £1m properties were sold in the UK last year, which was a 54% increase from 2009.
· This increase in top end UK property sales is disproportionate from the rest of the property market which saw property sales only increase by 9% since 2009.
· In the first quarter of 2011 we have seen an increase of 28% in the number of properties in Edinburgh coming to the open market, with an asking price of £1m or more, from the first quarter of 2010. The average asking price for these Edinburgh properties has also increased in the period, from £1,257,390 to £1,479,074. (source Saint Property data)
· Scottish rural properties with an asking price of £1m or more coming to the open market during the first quarter of 2011 shows a similar trend to the first quarter of 2010, with a total asking price of £45,485,000. Only an increase of 4%.
· It should be noted that several other properties have also become available privately during the period.
Edinburgh Property
· Saint Property figures show that 11% more new properties in Edinburgh came to the open market during the first quarter of 2011, than the first quarter of 2010, with an asking price of £500,000 or more.
· The area which saw the largest number of new properties come to the open market was Edinburgh’s New Town area which had 18% of the total, followed by Morningside and Colinton which both had 8% of the total number of new properties.
· Property owners in Edinburgh have seen high increases in the cost of their home insurance which has risen 45% since February 2010. (moneysupermarket.com) This is significantly higher than the average 6% increase across the UK as a whole. This appears to be as a result of insurers increasing premiums in affluent areas.





