Housing market optimism in the second half of the year
· The latest statistics from the Registers of Scotland show that the Scottish housing market is in its fifth month of continuous growth with the total value of sales having increased by 23.2 per cent in Scotland since this time last year.
· Data from the RICS shows surveyors are ‘cautiously optimistic’ with 27 per cent expecting prices to rise in the coming months with expectations for sales also positive.
· There was a significant increase in transactions in July; however the outlook for activity is less hopeful with demand from purchasers falling with continued difficulty in securing mortgages and uncertainty about the economy cited as likely reasons for caution from potential homebuyers.
Harvest 2010
· Despite The Russian Agriculture Ministry insisting wheat exports would remain stable a fortnight ago, they have now withdrawn from the export market to ensure supply in the home market.
· With Ukraine also releasing just half of their normal tonnage there are opportunities for UK farmers with a quality crop to capitalise on the premiums currently available.
· November wheat futures are in the £150-155/t delivered range.
Farm Borrowing
· Scotland’s Chief Statistician reports bank advances to Scottish agriculture has risen by 8.7 per cent on last year to £1,506m reflecting capital investment and seasonal needs along with difficult prices particularly in the dairy sector.
· 88.3 per cent of the borrowing is to owner occupier farmers with 8.8 per cent to tenant farmers the remainder to agricultural contractors and livestock salesmen. This reflects the structure of Scottish agriculture where 74 per cent of the agricultural area is owner occupied.
· 60 per cent of Scottish agricultural liabilities (totalling £2,315m in 2009) is in the form of bank borrowing, with the remaining from hire purchase, leasing, family and other sources.
· The latest figures available show the average farm has external liabilities of £89,900 including bank loans and overdrafts of £52,600.
Agricultural Subsidies
· The Scottish Cabinet Secretary for Rural Affairs has approved rules to tighten access by farmers to European subsidies, with payments to reflect the level of productive and environmental activity.
· The Scottish Government’s will plan on the following: no change made until 2013 on the current basis of allocating SFP; SFP will only go to active farmers and the scoring system for the Rural Priorities Scheme should favour new entrants.
· This stance is as a result of the Brian Pack Inquiry into the future of farming support, the final report due later in the year will form the Scottish Government’s negotiating position on the post 2013 Common Agriculture Policy.





